>>612038
>Neoliberalism has created too much interdependence between countries on abstracted global markets, if any major powers went to war with another one they'd be signing their own economic death warrant.
That kind of argument was plausible before the Great War. The end of the Belle Epoque kind of put a damper on the idea that economic interdependence equated to eternal peace.
>>613789
>Pretty much the entire discipline of International Relations was created to predict and prevent another world war.
It can't predict shit and it won't prevent anything. Modern IR is a capitalist invention, in the US it started literally as a Rockefeller Foundation-sponsored project. It is utterly dominated by bourg interests and outlooks, much like the media. All the major think tanks have ties to government, intelligence, and military institutions; they're little more than analytical mouthpieces. IR academics, like academics everywhere, tend to stay within their own petty, internecine theoretical disputes while "popular" IR figures like Robert Kaplan talk loudly and think little. Even thinkers who have some sense are delivering half-analysis, half self-promotion while defending their theoretical turf. It has little prescriptive capability beyond "maybe we should/n't do this", which is ignored anyway because muh national interests. I wouldn't trust it in any sense to deliver us from the next serious conventional war; it can't even defuse so-called "frozen" conflicts or successfully conclude literal humanitarian catastrophes like Syria.