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MONEY VELOCITY DECLINE

Stimulus implies greater activity, more encouraged movement. A spur in a horse's flank or a crack of the whip will induce a sudden acceleration in the harnessed animal. That is stimulus. A burst of nitro or naphtha to a racing car engine will induce a sudden acceleration in the souped-up machine. That is stimulus. A couple of whiskey chasers at a bar can give a guy some newfound courage to approach an attractive woman for a dance or a romp. That is stimulus. To be sure, QE & ZIRP help the big bank sector with redeemed toxic bonds, with bond carry trade potential, with rising values of doomed items like junk bonds. They even help the big banks directly with stock buyouts as the USFed illicitly buys bank stocks.

However, QE and ZIRP are not stimulus agents to the USEconomy. They are a death sentence. They are not viable support for the USD-based financial structure. They are destructive elements. The business investment, often called capital expenditures (CAPEX) has largely taken place in foreign lands. Most multi-national corporations did not expand inside the United States for a number of reasons. The US corporate tax rate is the highest in the industrial world. The US environmental regulations are the most strict in the industrial world. The federal regulatory oversight and interference is the most burdensome in the industrial world. So large companies have conducted expansion in the Emerging Market Nations. Where those nations grossly expanded their official debt at the sovereign level, they have been bankrupted on the currency impact. Such is not stimulus. The proof of ineffective policy is found in the fast decline in money velocity. It is defined in loose terms as the number of economic round trips for money within the economy during a given cycle. It is akin to how often your car's oil circulates within the engine, finding the same molecules at the starting point of the pistons shafts and cylinders in a given period of time, like a month.

If monetary policy had any shred of stimulus, the chart below would not appear as such a horrendous decline. The Jackass concludes that QE & ZIRP are the most destructive monetary policy in modern history, rendering the King Dollar not only on a reign of terror, but an instrument like a headache ball at a demolition site. The result has been capital destruction and dampened economic activity for several years. The policy guarantees systemic failure on a time line. A systemic Lehman failure event is in progress, not so much approaching, but already here, in progress.

The systemic failure has a point of origin, the United States and the Federal Reserve. The incredible USDollar shortage from the global margin call has lifted the global reserve currency to troublesome levels, only to cause severe damage across the many nations. The Emerging Market Nations took the bait, and added to their debt, told by Western bankers of no inherent risk. Obviously no interest rate risk was at work, but plenty of currency risk in effect. The USDollar has turned toxic. This margin call pressure comes at the same time as the vast Petro-Dollar machinery is being dismantled. The entire financial structures are crumbling and falling apart, while the official monetary policy only makes the conditions worse.

PERMANENT QE & ZIRP IN REALITY

The QE policy is not stimulus, no way, not by any basic definition. The ZIRP policy is not stimulus, not by any sensible reasonable or logical manner. QE represents multi-$trillion slush money to aid the Wall Street criminal banking center. QE has been expanded abroad, beyond the USFed offices (see BLICS), even to involve confiscations (see Japanese pensions). The QE has been joined since December by the gigantic clandestine arm known as the Exchange Stabilization Fund, operated by the USDept Treasury. With recent additions, one can truly call the monetary policy QE to Infinity. Maybe the term QE to Infinity Squared makes sense, a take-off of their CDO Squared lunatic bond instruments. Refer to Collateralized Debt Obligations, where leverage was applied twice.

The ZIRP enables the more efficient feedstock and lubrication for Interest Rate Swap machinery. The ZIRP enables a bond carry trade for easy Wall Street bank profits. The ZIRP actually slows the USEconomy in an utterly obvious way, with reduced income flows from pension funds, insurance treasuries, and individual retirees. The wet blanket is obvious and universal in its dampening effect. With its integral parts impossible to remove, one can truly call the monetary policy ZIRP Forever. The central bankers are truly stuck, not just in mud, but in quicksand. They are sinking, and their central bank franchise system is facing total ruin.

Together they guarantee a systemic failure. The Zimbabwe hyper monetary inflation undermines the entire global banking system in its reserves management structure. An African style inflation to global reserves cannot continue, and has forced an alternative system to be constructed, by the East. The ultra-low interest undermines the risk reward for savings, inhibits the economic flows, and distorts asset values universally. The USFed has truly destroyed the global economy and financial structure. The unfolding events are toward systemic failure and forcing the installation of the Gold Standard. It is the long avoided solution.

NEW SCHEISS DOLLAR & GOLD TRADE STANDARD

In time, expect an eventual refusal by Eastern producing nations to accept USTreasury Bills in payment for trade. The IMF reversal decision assures this USTBill blockade in time, and might accelerate the timetable. The United States Govt cannot continue on five glaring fronts of gross negligence and major violations. These violations have prompted the BRICS & Alliance nations to hasten their development of diverse non-USD platforms toward the goal of displacing the USDollar while at the same time take steps toward the return of the Gold Standard. The violations are:

1) to import finished goods and crude commodities, paying with IOU coupons

2) to commit multi-$trillion bond fraud in its big banks, done without legal prosecution

3) to do QE bond purchases in applied hyper monetary inflation, monetizing debt

4) to rig all major financial markets in favor of the primal USDollar

5) to engage in numerous regional wars to support the USDollar.

The New Scheiss Dollar will arrive in order to assure continued import supply to the USEconomy. It will be given a 30% devaluation out of the gate, then many more devaluations of similar variety. The New Dollar will fail all foreign and Eastern scrutiny. The USGovt will be forced to react to USTBill rejection at the ports. The US must accommodate with the New Scheiss Dollar in order to assure import supply, and to alleviate the many stalemates to come. The United States finds itself on the slippery slope that leads to the Third World, a Jackass forecast that has been presented since Lehman fell (better described as killed by JPM and GSax). The only apparent alternative is for the United States Govt to lease a large amount of gold bullion (like 10,000 tons) from China in order to properly launch a gold-backed currency. Doing so would open the gates for a generation of commercial colonization, but actual progress in returning capitalism to the United States. The colonization has already begun, with secret deals galore. As Ron Paul has stated, one cannot blame capitalism for the current failure, since we have had almost none!

The Gold price will find its true value and price over $10,000 per ounce. The Silver price will find its true value and price over $300 per ounce. In reaching these levels, the ratio will return to the 30-1 range. Several steps have been laid out by the Hat Trick Letter toward the return of proper price to precious metals. The major upcoming events will be exciting to watch unfold, one after the other, in an inevitable sequence away from fascism and concentrated uni-polar power, with a strong movement toward freedom and equitable systems with distributed power. The steps will each involve a quantum jump in the Gold & Silver prices. The process will take a few years, but might be breath-taking in speed once the process is begun. The steps involve:

• the critical mass of rejected USTBills in trade settlement, citing its corrupt roots and illicit monetary policy as foundation

• the return to the Gold Trade Standard and introduction of Gold Trade Notes as letters of credit, in replacement for a fair tangible payment system (no more IOU coupons)

• the recapitalization of the global banking system with Gold as primary reserve asset, so as to relieve the grotesque stagnation, insolvency, and dysfunction

• the seeking of equilibrium in Supply vs Demand in the new fair uninhibited market, with exclusive control removed from London and New York, and placed elsewhere like in Shanghai, Hong Kong, Dubai, and Singapore

• the seeding of BRICS gold & silver backed currencies from participating nations within the Alliance (likely several with slight variation in features)

• the re-opening of the gold mine industry with some blue sky, and relief from the Evergreen element at Barrick

• the remedy toward owners of over 40,000 tons of rehypothecated and stolen gold in bullion banks across the world (primarily in Switzerland)